This season's cardamom crop has been significantly impacted by climatic changes across Sri Lanka, resulting in a 30% reduction in both crop size and yield compared to the prior year. The single annual harvest, which runs from September through January, has concluded — and the same climatic pressures are expected to persist into the next growing season.

For buyers planning bulk procurement, November is the optimal window to begin pricing discussions ahead of the following harvest cycle. Cardamom thrives in well-drained loamy soils with a pH of 4–6 and requires abundant rainfall of approximately 2,000mm annually. Supply is not expected to improve materially in the near term, so early engagement is strongly advised.

⚠ Climate pressure — monitor supply closely; no shortage confirmed but risk elevated

Petitgrain from Calabria is showing a stable picture for 2026. Harvested in March and April through the pruning of bitter orange trees, the crop size is in line with last year and no special weather conditions are required to affect output. Yield remains consistent at approximately 3.5%, and processing of leaves occurs immediately after pruning.

The production process makes this a predictable and reliable source. Sandy soil and a straightforward extraction method contribute to the consistency of this ingredient year over year. Buyers should plan bulk pricing enquiries for April, coinciding with the harvest. No shortages are anticipated.

✓ Stable supply — crop in line with prior year; no disruptions reported

Argentina's lemon harvest is currently underway, running from April through August. This year's crop is forecast to be broadly in line with last year — no major increase or decrease is expected. That said, the outlook is not particularly favourable, with ongoing challenges stemming from a mix of climate variability, biological pressures, and economic factors that can affect both yield and quality.

Lemon trees in Argentina perform best in well-balanced, well-drained soils under subtropical to warm temperate conditions with plenty of sun. Bulk buyers are advised to begin pricing enquiries in December or January to position ahead of the harvest. No shortages are foreseen in the coming quarter.

✓ Steady outlook — no shortage expected; mixed climate and biological pressures to watch

Turkey's pomegranate harvest, which runs from September to December, saw a notable 30% reduction in 2025 compared to 2024 — which itself was a record year over the past decade. This contraction reflects a correction from an exceptional prior season rather than a structural decline. Pomegranate thrives in permeable, well-drained, slightly acidic soils with hot, dry summers and warm, rainy winters.

No projections are yet available for the 2026 harvest, and suppliers have not flagged any imminent shortages. The optimal window for bulk pricing remains December through June. Buyers should monitor as 2026 crop data emerges, particularly given the elevated baseline set by 2024's record output.

⚠ 2026 harvest data pending — no shortage flagged; reduced crop vs record prior year

Chile's wild rosehip harvest, sourced from the country's southern regions (VII to IX), runs from February through April depending on the area. The 2026 crop is estimated to come in slightly below last year, though the yield is expected to remain broadly similar. Dried seeds remain available throughout the year as a complementary supply source.

Well-drained, sandy loam soil with a slightly acidic to neutral pH is ideal for rosehip cultivation. The cooler temperatures and higher rainfall of southern Chile make these regions naturally suited to wild rosehip growth. No shortages are anticipated at this time. Beginning of year is the recommended window to initiate bulk pricing conversations.

✓ No shortage anticipated — slight crop reduction; dried seeds available year-round